Dhaka

Bangla Spring

Will Bangladesh’s revolution go the way of the Arab Spring?

By Atif Shamim Syed | May 2025


In an era of global democratic decline, last year’s student uprising in Bangladesh stands as a powerful example of re-asserting egalitarian values. The movement’s success in toppling Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s authoritarian government highlights the transformative potential of grassroots activism and the critical role of political neutrality in driving systemic change. Bangladesh’s experience offers a blueprint for other societies resisting authoritarian rule, proving that broad-based, non-aligned movements can dismantle oppressive regimes and create pathways for lasting democratic reform.

As post-Hasina Bangladesh suffers uncertainty and some level of unrest, a few political observers have begun drawing parallels between Bangladesh’s revolution and the Arab Spring.

The Arab Spring was a wave of pro-democracy uprisings that swept the Middle East and North Africa in late 2010, toppling authoritarian regimes and inspiring political change. However, many of these revolutions ultimately failed to achieve lasting social transformation, plunging countries into civil war, authoritarian resurgence, political instability, and chaos.

However, an objective comparison between the two requires considering the causes, dynamics, and outcomes of the Arab Spring and comparing them with Bangladesh’s current political landscape.

The Arab Spring was driven by widespread frustration over corruption, lack of political freedom, high unemployment, and economic inequality. In some countries, mass protests led to the overthrow of entrenched dictators. Yet the absence of strong democratic institutions, internal power struggles, and external interference led to disappointing – and in some cases catastrophic - results.

Conversely, Bangladesh is a parliamentary democracy marred by intense political polarization, authoritarian tendencies, and rigged elections. Sheikh Hasina’s ruling party, the Awami League (AL), had been in power since 2009. The AL government was accused of cracking down on dissent, limiting press freedom, and weaponizing the judiciary. Meanwhile, the opposition—primarily the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)—struggled to mount a coherent challenge, often resorting to mere boycotts and street protests.

Bangladesh does share some similarities with the pre-Arab Spring environment, including discontent with governance, lack of transparency, and a highly frustrated youth. Yet, there are also some very important differences. First, Bangladesh has a very strong civil society and a tradition of electoral politics. Unlike Arab dictatorships, political change in Bangladesh does not necessarily require a revolution. Theoretically, it could be achieved through the ballot.

Additionally, Bangladesh has not seen the same level of violent repression or chaos that defined countries like Syria. Although political violence exists, it has not escalated into full-scale civil war. Bangladesh also benefits from a more homogeneous population, reducing the risk of sectarian strife, which was a major factor in the failure of the Arab Spring.

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