Opinion
Allure of Democracy
Will the 21st century witness the rise of illiberal democracies?
Western societies are widely synonymous with being liberal and democratic, with the terms liberalism and democracy often used interchangeably. The optimism that democracy seemed to have brought about in the 1990s, including economic prosperity and freer societies, often known as the hallmarks of liberalism, has been fading in the current century, giving rise to its antithesis, illiberal democracy. Can democracies be illiberal? Or is an illiberal democracy post-liberal democracy where nations turn illiberal after experiencing a liberal-democratic system?
In July 2014, the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orbán, made a striking speech at Băile Tușnad, a town in Romania, endorsing illiberal democracy and highlighting the economic success stories of Singapore, China, India, Russia and Turkey. In the Journal of Democracy, Marc F. Plattner writes about Orbán’s speech, which implied that ‘“a democracy does not necessarily have to be liberal. Just because a state is not liberal, it can still be a democracy,” adding that “the new state that we are constructing in Hungary is an illiberal state, a non-liberal state.”
Will the 21st century witness the rise of illiberalism and illiberal democracies? SouthAsia explores this in this piece.
An end-of-history moment?
For Paul Poast, Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science and Committee on International Relations at the University of Chicago, what is likely being witnessed now “is an end of the ‘end of history moment’. While democracy spread following the Cold War, it did so during a time when nationalism was in a lull. Much more powerful was the allure of economic globalization fostered by the U.S. When coupled with the U.S. being the dominant global power, this created conditions for democracy to spread.”
Was the allure of democracy overestimated? Kenneth Holland, a PhD in Political Science from the University of Chicago (UChicago), says, “We were too optimistic about the transition of Russia and China from authoritarianism to liberal democracy. Similarly, in the 1920s, the U.S. was overly optimistic about Germany’s transition from authoritarianism to liberal democracy.”
Speaking of the ‘third wave of democracy,’ Holland states, “There are, in fact, many more democracies now than there were in the 20th century. There are new democracies in Latin America, Africa, and Asia due to what is called ‘the third wave of democracy’.” He shares how the major hot and cold wars of the 20th century pushed democracy as the best system.
According to Muhammad Faisal Awan, Assistant Professor at the Department of International Relations, University of Karachi (KU), “Democracy’s allure may have been overestimated due to challenges, such as populism, polarization, and the failure of democratic institutions to address pressing issues effectively. Even in the West, the ideals of freedom and equality have not materialized because these values are illusionary and not yet defined. They may be more dependent on contingent factors than having universalizing meaningfulness. The West is in an identity crisis, and so is democracy.”
Can democracy be illiberal?
With the rise of right-wing politics across the world, maybe all is not well with democracy. Awan mentions, “It depends how democracy is defined. Democracy and liberalism are often considered interconnected, representing people’s will. However, in many cases, democratic systems may exhibit illiberal tendencies, such as infringing upon minority rights or concentrating power in the hands of a few. The rise of right-wing politics across the world reflects that even the rule of the mob may find a place in this system.”
Democracy can be illiberal, says Professor Holland. He says, “The core meaning of democracy is the rule by the majority. The majority can be tyrannical when it violates the rights of the minority.” However, from KU’s IR Department, Awan believes “the time is not ripe to write its obituary. However, the growing dissatisfaction with the capitalist system per se may even make a democratic form of government a part of the problem.”
Out of democracy’s folds and into the realm of illiberalism?
According to Professor Holland, also the Chief of Party of the USAID higher education project in Pakistan—Higher Education System Strengthening Activity (HESSA), “There is a rise in nationalism, which is inherently illiberal since the ethnic/religious majority oppresses the ethnic/religious minority.”
Poast, from UChicago, goes beyond nationalism’s role in democratic backsliding. He says, “Years of financial crises tarnished the attraction of economic globalization. When coupled with the blowback to the U.S. exercising military power around the world, nationalism started to return. This nationalism took hold in all the major powers, including the U.S. This, in turn, created less tolerance for democracy. These trends explain the democratic backsliding we are witnessing in the world and why autocracy is gaining in appeal. But it is also not clear that a different outcome could have emerged. Liberal Democracy is a relatively young form of governance that did not spread widely until the middle of the 20th century. One could even go as far as saying that the U.S. itself was not a liberal democracy until the passage of the Voting Rights Act in the 1960s.”
Awan, from KU’s IR Department, feels “being illiberal is not necessarily being “bad”’. “Moving out of democracy’s folds and into the realm of illiberalism implies a negative judgement on the shift towards illiberalism without considering differing perspectives on political systems and values. We need a more nuanced understanding of complex political issues and encourage respectful engagement with diverse perspectives. We have seen many things that are bad with democracy. There is equally no harm in experiencing many things good with other lifeworld forms.”
No alternative to democracy?
One wonders if there is an alternative to democracy. Referring to the American political scientist Francis Fukuyama’s writings on the end of history, Holland, the political scientist from UChicago, mentions that “almost no one today advocates for Marxist Communism or Fascism—the two major 20th-century enemies of liberal democracy. There are very few theocracies worldwide, notably Iran and Afghanistan.”
However, for Awan, “There can be both alternative democracy and alternative to democracy depending on a range of socio-political, cultural and civilizational contexts.”
The root cause of illiberalism
Have the champions of democracy fallen off the liberalism train? “The root cause of illiberalism is the failure of people to absorb and accept the teachings of liberalism due to the persistence of traditional ways of life. Grievances felt by the ethnic/religious majority and inflamed by demagogues become fuel for the oppression of minorities and suppression of individual freedoms,” shares Holland.
When asked the same question, Awan opined, “This question puts liberalism or illiberalism(s) in a binary lens. Viewing complex issues like these through a binary lens often, if not always, oversimplifies the nuances and complexities inherent in those issues. However, assuming from a democratic point of view, democracies throughout the world have suffered setbacks, albeit of various natures.”
Freedom House’s Nations in Transit 2024 report marks the 20th consecutive year of the overall decline in democratic governance from Central Europe to Central Asia. In this year’s edition, 10 out of 29 countries suffered downgrades in their Democracy Score for the events of 2023, and just five registered improvements. Is the world up for an alternate system?
Holland says the world is separated between regimes where liberal democracy is entrenched and those where people long for it. “The role of the West is to support the liberal democratic forces in countries like Ukraine and Georgia. The Arab Spring of 2011 demonstrated the appeal of liberal democracy to young people in the developing world. The flight of young people from Russia after Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 illustrates the lure of liberal democracy to the young and educated. The holding of truly free and fair elections is critical to the success of liberal democracy.”
The writer is a communications professional and a UN Volunteer. She can be reached at mariaamkahn@gmail.com
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