Cover Story

Modi vs. Modi

By SouthAsia Social Media Desk | July 2024

Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay
Journalist

Narendra Modi may be back in office for a third term, but the numbers supporting him dramatically differ from what he expected and what he’s grown accustomed to. He no longer has a majority, so he can no longer be authoritarian. But that is the critical question: Is he psychologically and temperamentally capable of being a consensual prime minister who depends upon allies to survive in office?

Narendra Modi has suddenly been asked to enact a role he has never done before. Unexpectedly, he is facing a situation where his arms may be twisted by his allies, who would want specific policies, decisions, and placements to align with their priorities to ensure that their voter base does not get upset. Modi will have to hold many more cabinet meetings to listen to the views of the ministers chosen from his allies. He will no longer dictate terms to the ministers to endorse the decisions made by the Prime Minister’s office.

Whether he can present a new Modi is difficult to answer. The need for a new Modi is the challenge the old Modi faces.

From childhood, Narendra Modi wanted the spotlight to always be on him. One of his teachers in school said that he liked to act in theatre plays as part of the annual school function. Since he first became the Gujarat Chief Minister and then the Prime Minister, Modi has never worked with people and has always been a domineering, towering political figure. However, as things currently stand, he is facing a situation where his allies may twist his arms. In Andhra Pradesh, the Telugu Desam Party has a certain base among the religious minorities. Would they allow Modi to pursue the kind of majoritarian exclusivist policies? Would he be able to speak the language of polarization, which Modi spoke so much about throughout the entire campaign? Seemingly, Modi is not prepared for what he has to become now. It will be a big challenge, and I can confidently say he is now a broken person suffering from a profound sense of defeat since he never likes to be defeated and wants to win every game. In 2019, in Varanasi, he had a 4.8 lakh majority. That’s been reduced to just 1.52 lakhs. Clearly, the BJP has lost its majority, faring its worst performance in the last 10 years.

There’s no doubt that the NDA is in a position to form the government. But how comfortable will Narendra Modi be as prime minister when he’s dependent on support from Chandra Babu Naidu and Nitish Kumar? Will they want a money-making ministerial portfolio like finance and defense? Will they insist the speaker be from their party rather than the BJP? These are demands he’s not used to handling. He’s never had to face them before. He has never played a secondary role or been dictated to by others.

Let’s look a little further down the road. The critical question is, can Narendra Modi, both temperamentally and psychologically, adjust to the very different circumstances he now faces as Prime Minister? Is he psychologically ill-equipped to handle a coalition government where the BJP doesn’t have a majority?

He is a person who likes his way. He likes to dominate the others. He’s never had the reason to work with others and accommodate anybody else’s views since he became the Gujarat Chief Minister. That is going to be a tricky situation for Modi to handle. It’s not just that people within the Sangh Parivar will launch protests or movements against the government’s decisions. Modi could also face challenges from within his party because he’s now a weakened prime minister. He’s brought the BJP to its lowest point in 10 years. He, the BJP, and those in the party who aspire to take his job know that.

Other than the veterans who have been side-lined like L.K. Advani and Murali Manohar Joshi, we must be concerned about people who were part of his cabinet. Still, they weren’t pleased with the kind of secondary position given to them. In his first and second terms, Modi ran a highly centralized government where the PM office was possibly the strongest ever, and India saw the entire cabinet system of governance crumble under Modi.

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