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Quo Vadis, American
Foreign Policy!
It seems that Trump’s resistance not only poses a threat to American democracy
but also casts an aspersion on national security.
‘Weird’ is the word that at best could describe the delay in the transition to the US presidency following the elections on November 3, 2020. This is strange as it sounds if compared with the electoral processes in most of the modern democracies. Indeed, “The United States is almost alone among major democracies in taking so long to install a new head of the state.” “In France, the president takes office within ten days of the election. In the United Kingdom, the moving trucks arrive at 10 Downing Street the morning after the incumbent loses.” The time transition is taking in the United States, over two months, is perhaps second only in comparison to Mexico, where the transition lasts an arduous five months.
There is no sign of it happening soon with outgoing President Trump and his supporters having dug their heels in resisting the election outcome and transfer of power.
As a matter of fact, in nascent democracies like Pakistan, transfer is much quicker with no or little hassle or controversy.
While that being that and uncertainty rendering transfer treacherous, making the period more dangerous than ever mocking at the future of democracy. That being a subject for wider debate at the national level especially when delay is giving rise to a demand that the truant states not willing to transfer power, be disenfranchised. It seems that Trump’s resistance not only poses a threat to American democracy but also casts an aspersion on national security. The situation as such and the constitutional predicament is surely creating a legitimate case for the American legislators to rewrite the process of presidential transitions to make it sweat-free.
Joseph Biden’s election as the new US president opposed by the defeated Trump has shrouded the future of the most powerful office in an aura of uncertainty when smooth transition has a history of more than three hundred years of traditional sanctity. Instead of being a good omen for the future of the country, having suffered immensely at the hands of a quixotic president, this uncalled for delay has blocked the prioritizing of its vested interests above those of other nations. Pakistan that began its diplomatic career as the most trusted ally of the United States East of the Suez, had struggled hard to free itself from the stranglehold of the Cult of Trumpism as manifested in his orchestration of ‘do more’ mantra to blackmail Pakistan that only became lukewarm at the fag end of his presidency when Pakistan got the Taliban around to sit at a conference table with the United States.
Irrespective of the fact as to who is the president, the basis of American foreign policy has remained the Monroe Doctrine that asserts irrevocably the principle of unilateral U.S. protectionism over the entire Western Hemisphere since 1823 — a concept that has expanded its sphere of influence in the last hundred years giving new definition to neo-imperialism in a new bottle! Initially the Monroe Doctrine had aimed at safer international waters for the British fleet to deter potential aggressors in Latin America. However, ever since with the advent of now decreased communism and erstwhile Soviet Empire, American emergence as a uni-polar power made its geo-strategic interests different and expansive. It would be a long shot to forecast whether Joe Biden’s presidency will be able to change the course of U.S. foreign policy and mark a return to multilateralism for what is being called the greater benefit of other countries, especially South Asian countries like Pakistan. It is believed in Pakistan that American return to multilateralism could mean return to John Foster Dulles’ Pactomania.
In the given situation, Pakistani experts hope that the US would bring in some positive changes for the better. They expect President Biden and his team to avoid gun-boat diplomacy of the Trump era and would not allow undermining of the administration trying to downgrade the powers of the presidency. Biden will have to have a team that would act positive in its strategic moves and policy pronouncements so that the Biden administration can hold the American public, reassured that his administration would look totally different from that of Trump. No doubt the Trump administration has thrown the transition process itself into doubt and made it unpredictable. It is said that before the transition can legally begin, the head of the General Services Administration, Emily Murphy, must certify that the election has been decided and results are final. Murphy, a Trump appointee, has so far refused to do so, putting the transition in limbo. Senior administration officials may delay, if not outrightly refuse, to meet with the agency review teams. If Trump officials do agree to meet, they might not be forthcoming about what they know. They could refuse to give transition teams access to the documents they request or even destroy records.
One is not sure how long this delay will take; its fallout is manifested in the millions of out-of-work Americans who are going hungry with mounting anger, imminently warning of an implosion sooner than later. In that eventuality, Pakistan would be at the receiving end of American policy confusion and disarray.
The author is the former High Commissioner of Pakistan to UK and an eminent journalist who was adviser to martyred Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto until her assassination. He can be reached at wshwsh786@gmail.com |
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