Cover Story
Perils of Power Politics
The ugliest face of power politics in Pakistan will be re-exposed in the February 2024 General Elections.
Never before in the political history of Pakistan have such unique general elections taken place as they are expected to come about on February 8. Tracing the history of general elections from 1970 to 1977, 1988, 1990, 1993, 1997, 2002, 2008, and 2018, candidates and parties contesting in such polls were equally offered a level playing field with mandatory election symbols laced with the much-needed freedom to run their election campaigns. However, the 1985 Elections cannot be termed as free and fair because they were held on a non-party basis under the patronage of the martial law regime of General Zia-ul-Haq.
Notably, the year 2023 left behind a trail of violation of the Constitution, imposing an environment of fear and coercion after the events of May 9, 2023, which mainly targeted Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) and its Chairman Imran Khan, thereby unmasking the ugliest face of democracy in the country’s political history. For instance, provincial elections in Punjab and KPK, due in April after the dissolution of their respective assemblies in early 2023, were not held by the Election Commission of Pakistan despite the Supreme Court’s directives. After the dissolution of the National Assembly and the provincial assemblies of Balochistan and Sindh in August 2023, general elections were supposed to be held within 90 days, as mentioned in the 1973 Constitution. However, they were delayed till February 2024, when the SC Chief Justice ordered the Election Commission in the third week of December to announce the election schedule for the February 8 polls as soon as possible.
Ironically, pre-poll rigging was evident when the bulk of the PTI candidates’ nomination papers were rejected until the time election tribunals composed of the judiciary accepted the majority of appeals from that party, and they were allowed to contest elections. But, first, the Election Commission and then the Supreme Court rejected holding the intra-party elections of PTI. It deprived Pakistan’s most popular party of its election symbol, a cricket bat.’ After losing its election symbol, PTI had no option but to launch its candidates as independent candidates. Back-to-back acts of harassment and coercion by the ‘deep state’ and its compromised institutions like bureaucracy, election commission, and a segment of the judiciary put a question mark on the credibility and legitimacy of the February 2024 elections. Unfortunately, all political parties are allowed to contest elections freely and hold election meetings except the PTI.
The reference was given to the ‘London Plan’ whereby a deal was struck between Nawaz Sharif and a powerful actor representing an institution whereby Sharif had to be absolved of corruption cases and allowed to contest elections, thus paving the way for appointing him as Prime Minister for the fourth time! But the deal also had a caveat that the PTI Chairman had to be arrested, disqualified, and banned by his party. Except for the 1964 elections, when President Ayub Khan manipulated poll results to defeat Fatima Jinnah, no election can be comparable to the forthcoming elections. Even the 1977 general elections during Z. A. Bhutto’s regime were relatively free and fair, albeit rigging allegations during National Assembly polls held on March 7, which led to the electoral rout of the nine-party alliance called Pakistan National Alliance (PNA). However, the unopposed election of Prime Minister Z. A. Bhutto and all the chief ministers, by using coercive methods against their potential competitors, cast doubts about the fairness of the 1977 elections.
In 2023, under state patronage, both the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) and the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) were given a free hand to eliminate the PTI. Why the PML (N) and the PPP, who were partners in the coalition government from April 2022 till August 2023, are allowed to conduct their election campaign, while the level playing field is denied to PTI to the extent that it has to contest polls with candidates having an independent status and different election symbols, instead of ‘Bat.’ Even then, those who matter are so fearful of the PTI’s popularity that countless restrictions are imposed when their candidates try to hold election rallies or meetings.
The ugliest face of Pakistan’s power politics is now exposed in the February 2024 general elections, and it needs to be analyzed from three angles. First, at stake is the credibility and legitimacy of elections because ample evidence is available to prove that state institutions have been compromised and are involved in pre-poll rigging. Why is the judiciary not taking notice of the election commission’s failure to ensure a level playing field for those contesting the February 2024 elections, particularly those affiliated with PTI? Furthermore, under which law candidates contesting as independents but having affiliation with PTI are coerced, arrested, and tortured?
All political parties must understand the fact that if today the PTI is facing state suppression, tomorrow it will be their turn.
Never in the election history of Pakistan such gross injustice to any political party has ever been committed. All political parties must understand the fact that if today the PTI is facing state suppression, tomorrow it will be their turn. The PTI government may have committed several blunders during its tenure, but two wrongs cannot make a right. Secondly, the February 2024 elections are unique because returning election commission officers are drawn from bureaucracy, which is an act of partisanship. Predictably, returning officers rejected the nomination papers of 90% of the PTI members, which the election tribunals headed by judges later approved.
How can one expect the returning officers to be fair on Election Day if they obey the orders from the caretaker government both at the center and in provinces? What is the guarantee that the returning officers will not be a party to the election, rigging in the favor of the PML (N)? Finally, the February 2024 elections are unique because a political party has never been deprived of its election symbol in the history of Pakistan.
Unfortunately, in the election campaign, which should have been vibrant and colorful, 2024 polls are devoid of presenting a viable election manifesto by various contesting political parties. Pakistan’s economy is in dire straits, and its governance has a question mark. Still, different political parties do not consider the voters’ aspirations in the election campaign. One can expect violence and chaos in Pakistan if elections are rigged and the mandate of the electorate is stolen.
When access to social media by most people of Pakistan tends to shape their perceptions, curbs on print and electronic media by state organs will not matter. On the one hand, the PTI is innovative and tech-savvy to use social media to disseminate its election messages, and the PTI candidates resort to contesting elections independently. On the other hand, those against the PTI, including the PML (N) and the Establishment, are using their creativity on how to cut the PTI to size and keep its chairman behind bars. As a result, Pakistan is unable to hold free and fair elections, which will further destabilize the country’s politics and economy, thereby corroborating the ugly rise of vendetta-based power politics.
The writer is Meritorious Professor of International Relations and former Dean Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Karachi. He can be reached at moonis.ahmar59@gmail.com
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Well written