Cover Story
Redeeming Factor
To sustain and strengthen Pakistan-U.S. relations, the two countries will have to find more ways of reducing differences and expanding areas of mutual cooperation.
Pakistan’s relations with the United States have gone through several phases during the last seventy-six years of its formation. In the early years, it enjoyed a close relationship with the U.S. that was primarily defence and security related in which Pakistan opted to be a close ally of the U.S. in the U.S.-Soviet ideological confrontation. For Pakistan the support of the U.S. was critical as it became a major recipient of the U.S. military aid that gave it the confidence to stand up to Indian aggression. Although, the weapons and equipment were to be used strictly for defence against any Soviet aggression.
However, after the 1965-war with India, the U.S. suspended its military aid and imposed strict sanctions. Thus, Pakistan turned to China for military equipment and hardware for assistance. In 1962, China and India had engaged in a major conflict that centered primarily on the disputed Aksai Chin region along those countries’ borders. China was being subjected to isolation by the U.S. and found in Pakistan a valuable ally. These events brought about fundamental changes in Pakistan’s relations with the U.S.
For China, Pakistan became a pivotal ally while India and the U.S. finding China as a major adversary, and both being democratic states found common ground for a strong strategic and economic relationship. These major shifts in regional and global alignment did require certain adjustments and changes in orientation, nonetheless both Pakistan and the U.S. still found areas of mutual interest. While Pakistan considers China a pivotal ally it also needs to have a strong functional relationship with the U.S. and sees no conflict of interest. Interestingly, as the world has changed so have the dynamics of relations between the countries.
The classic example of this is so apparent in how the U.S. and China relate to each other. Pakistan has, thus, rightly opted for developing good relations with the U.S. at a tactical or functional level while continuing its strategic partnership and close cooperation with China.
There are several areas that are specific and unique that Pakistan would like to benefit from the U.S. Pakistani students vie for admission in American universities due to their high standards and global recognition. A postgraduate degree in engineering, medicine or science, especially from one of the reputed universities of the U.S., would greatly facilitate them in getting a decent job.
However, Pakistani students have not been able to avail these opportunities compared to Indian and Chinese students, partly due to financial constraints and low-academic standards. Cooperation in defence is another area of major interest between Pakistan and the United States. Despite Pakistan’s heavy reliance of all the three services on China for import of major weapon systems, defence technology and industrialization, there are several areas and equipment that Pakistan would be interested in developing or procuring from the U.S. Pakistan is a regular participant in the U.S.-led multi-national military exercises and counterterrorism operations.
The Pakistani diaspora in the U.S. is another strong linkage between the two countries. For Pakistan the remittances sent by them are a valuable source of foreign exchange. The United States is Pakistan’s largest export destination. It exported goods worth $5billion in 2021. The United States has also been a leading investor in Pakistan for nearly twenty years. Major U.S. investments are in consumer goods, chemicals, energy, agriculture, transportation and communications.
Navaid Khan
However, we paid no heed to the words of late Arnold L. Raphael, U.S. Ambassador to Pakistan, who repeatedly said, “The purpose of Aid is to do away with the need of aid.” We, on the other hand, increased our dependence on more borrowings. Today, we have an external debt of US$ 130 billion and have to go on a borrowing spree all the time to pay our debtors.
With a strong economy like Saudi Arabia, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman could say that he ignored the Western criticism over their growing ties with China and as a business person, they will go where opportunity comes their way. He made it clear that “they don’t accept any choice which has anything to do with either with us or with others.”
In our country, an all-powerful military dictator crumbled down under the U.S. ultimatum, “Either you are with us or….” Today we have multiple masters. As long as we serve their interests, they will help us stay afloat. Till we can stand on our feet, phrases like ‘Friends not Masters’ are irrelevant for us.
The growing differences between the U.S. and China do require astute handling of foreign relations by Pakistan. Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Hina Rabbani Khar’s apt remarks during an interview with Washington-based news outlet Politico that “Pakistan had no appetite to pick a side in the global rivalry,” in essence summed up its dealings with the two powers. Political analysts are warning that as the U.S. adapts several measures, strategic and economic to thwart or slow down Beijing’s rise, it would also be more difficult for Pakistan to maintain the balance.
International observers are of the view that despite Pakistan’s internal weaknesses it carries a strong strategic influence in the region. As the U.S. and India expand and strengthen their cooperation, China is making every effort to remain closer to Pakistan. The most significant expression of this has been the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and their close cooperation in defence and strategic policies. This, however, does not prevent Pakistan from maintaining its ties with the U.S. where interests converge. For example, the United States considers Pakistan’s role critical in stabilizing Afghanistan, wherein the two countries would cooperate in sharing intelligence and pressing the Taliban leadership to improve their treatment of women and human rights record.
There are also major developments taking place in form of alliances as the U.S. views the rise of China as an undeniable reality. The Indo-Pacific Quadrilateral Dialogue, a multilateral dialogue in which India is a partner with Australia, Japan and the U.S., is another grouping meant to slow down the rise of China. It is, however, paradoxical that while these alliances are in the making for all these members of Quad, including India, China is a major trading partner. The trade between India and the U.S. has also grown significantly over the years. The U.S. is the 3rd largest investor in India with cumulative FDI inflows of nearly U.S. $57 million from April 2000 to September 2022. The bilateral trade between India and the U.S. stood at U.S. $87,342 million from April to November 2022.
The second state visit of India Prime Minister Narendra Modi to the U.S. with all the trappings of an address to Congress reflects the U.S. President Joe Biden efforts to further strengthen relations with India. Clearly, the U.S. sees India as a strong trading partner and its critical role as a regional balancer against China. Whereas, China is taking counter measures to safeguard its vital interests by getting closer to Russia. A manifestation of this was the joint exercise in which 10,000 Russian and Chinese troops participated. So, while Pakistan would like to benefit from buying gas from Russia it is the likelihood of sanctions being imposed and high infrastructural cost that prevents it from availing the much-needed facility.
The efforts by the U.S. and its Western allies to strengthen India’s defence and economic capabilities to countervail China has serious repercussions for Pakistan. The redeeming factor is that despite these challenges the U.S. and Pakistan are finding new avenues of cooperation in trade, commerce and facilitating postgraduate education for Pakistani students. To sustain and strengthen Pakistan-U.S. relations, the two countries will have to find more ways of reducing differences and expanding areas of mutual cooperation.
S.M. Shahid
I DISCOVERED AMERICA.
I discovered America 500 years after Christopher Columbus did. The Italian must have noticed something, but I have my own memories of the time I set foot on the great country in 1997.
Awestruck I was, I travelled in no less than 9 states: Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Kentucky, Tennessee, North Carolina – also New York and California. Driving through Tennessee, I visited London, Paris, Frankfurt, Athens and Versailles as well! Aik ticket mein do mazay.
Then I slowed down and attended a mushaira at Devon, a mohallah in Chicago where the streets are named after Mohammad Ali Jinnah, Mahatma Gandhi, and Golda Meir. This was followed by brushing shoulders with my favourite Sarangi player, Ustad Sultan Khan of India. Daughter Aisha also took me to dinners hosted by two rich Pakistani doctors in Jeffersonville, Indiana. One lived in a large Victorian mansion, the other in a nine-bedroom house.
During conversations I came to know that there were scores of periodicals published by religious organizations. For instance, the Buddhists brought out publications by names such as Blind Donkey, Centre of Gravity etc. The Hindus named their publications Book of Godhead, Crazy Wisdom; the Jews had Jewish Action, Talks and Tales; and the Sikh Beads of Truth, Kirpal Light. I counted 30 periodicals published by different Islamic sects. Wow! What liberty of free speech and fear-free practice of faith!
In the sphere of crime, too, America impressed me. Chicago alone had 30 crime gangs. A few names: Vice Lords, Born to Kill, Latin Dragons, Latin Eagles, Satan’s Disciples. The hierarchy of one of the Muslim gangs was named Amalgamated Order of Lordism, Supreme Chief King of Kings, Universal Elite. Spanish gangs seemed more organized: ‘Spanish Gangster Disciple Nation’ (SGDN) had Chairman, Governor, Lt. Governor, Secretary, Ambassador, Consultant, Viceroy, and Member. They had given interesting names to different organizations: Neeks for Administration, Pig for Police, Division for Gangster, and Rockwell for Disciple. Gang members were called Lil Bug, Tiny, Casanova, Mr. Dee, Caveman, Alberto, Fingers, Smoky, Speedy, Goofie, Smily, Peenuts, Patty, and Beaver.
In short, I spent my time judiciously, not wasting it on the study of America’s political and economic achievements and failures. I spent it on taking conducted tours, or simply loitering and spending quality time at the malls.
Prof. Serajuddaula Syed
In early sixties, all schools, including mine, used to provide free milk to students. The truck bringing milk showed shaking hands with the U.S. flag in the background. The U.S. trying to influence the younger minds for their larger American interest and our elder minds with their short-sighted and selfish interests were, in fact, destroying the future of Pakistan.
From the first martial law in 1958 onwards, most politicians, bureaucrats, junta, so-called religious leaders, feudal lords and anyone with some power were happily ready to serve the masters. The books like ‘Friends not Master’ had to be published to ‘corroborate’ this reality. The fact is that most of the leaders and people with power have written off this country long ago. That’s why they transfer there booty overseas, and in like manner, their children go abroad for education. They have no faith in the future of Pakistan. Their corrupt attitude has trickled down to the mass and now more than 90% of Pakistanis are morally corrupt. Most of us tell lies and justify it. Justice is mostly delayed and frequently denied. Most Pakistanis believe that a yearly visit to Makkah will wash their sins in which they are drowned. And we blame the U.S. for all these. Blaming and showing false anathema to the U.S. and the West is the most popular mantra in Pakistan and many other poor countries.
The writer is a retired lieutenant general of the Pakistan Army and a former federal secretary. He has also served as chairman of the Pakistan Ordnance Factories Board.
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After years of an underlying steady state in Pakistan-U.S. relations with apparent ups and downs on the surface, they are, for the first time, faced with a paradigm shift. How will this work out? As an ally against the Soviet Union in the Cold War, a trusted peacemaker for the UN missions across the globe and the most “allied of allies” in the two Afghan wars (1979 and 2001), all of a sudden Pakistan-U.S. relations are adrift, looking for a new role - a new reality.
Ideally, in the changed geopolitical environment, Pakistan should be neutral in the Cold War between the U.S. and China. While China will have no problem with this, the U.S. appears to be pressurizing Pakistan with “either you are with us or against us.” Then, how exactly would Pakistan respond? Will it be forced to abandon neutrality and align itself solely with the Chinese? This is the Hobson’s choice Pakistan is facing.