Meeting Challenges
Head-On
The West and Iran must meet at some point of mutual peace and remove long-pending disputes or the region could simply blow up and there would be no going back.

Iran has had a chequered history from the times of the ancient Persian Empire. The turmoil has continued to the post-revolution present-day Iran. The country has faced immense challenges in recent times, due to its ongoing tussle with the United States and the Middle Eastern Arab-monarchies. Recently, a wave of violent protests spread like wildfire after a fuel price hike was announced. These demonstrations are believed to be the largest uprisings since the 1979 revolution which overthrew the Shah of Iran. The November protests resulted in the loss of dozens of lives, thousands injured and public and private properties damaged. These agitations were also fueled by the foreign opponents of Iran to bring the Iranian regime to its toes.
Iran has a bitter past. As the country has been under international sanctions due to its development of a nuclear programme, the economic growth rate has slowed down to a historic low which has put severe pressure on the population. Successful negotiations and inking of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) back in 2015 gave rise to hope that the sufferings of the Iranian people would be relieved, and a confrontational atmosphere will come to an end. Nonetheless, as President Trump took oath, he vowed to unilaterally withdraw from the JCPOA alleging that Tehran did not comply with the agreement. Although other members of the P5+1 were satisfied with the Iranian side, President Trump withdrew through a presidential order followed by more economic sanctions against Iran. Besides, there was a naval blockade and the US and its allies were standing eyeball to eyeball against Iran for some days. It was feared that this brinkmanship might spiral out of control and turn into a full-blown war. Apparently, it was aimed at bringing the Iranian economy to near standstill, so that internal anarchy might erupt and a regime change could be realized without direct intervention.
The roots of the recent discontent can be traced to the economic woes of the Iranian citizens. The Rouhani government increased fuel prices to 15,000 rials per litre; earlier it was 10,000 rials for the first 60 liters per month and each additional litre after that would be charged 30,000 rials. That amount was to be diverted as cash handouts to the poorest citizens. Despite one of the lowest fuel prices even after the recent increase, people came into the streets of around 100 cities against the fuel price hike. Drivers left their vehicles on the roads and participated in the demonstrations. According to Interior Minister Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli “as many as 200,000 people took part in the protests and 731 banks, 70 petrol stations and 140 government sites were set ablaze. More than 50 security bases were also attacked”.
In response, the regime resorted to ruthless force in an attempt to curb the widespread protests. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei dubbed the violent protestors as “thugs” and labelled them as counter-revolutionaries while President Hassan Rouhani said, “anarchy and rioting will not be tolerated”. As per estimates, more than 200 fatalities had occurred and 800 persons had been injured. Nevertheless, US sources claimed the casualties could be around 1000. The government imposed a weeklong internet blackout in order to restrict information-sharing related to the gory incidents that boccurred during the clampdown against the demonstrators.
Undoubtedly, though the demonstrations were sparked by the rise in fuel prices, the opponents of Iran left no stone unturned to exploit the situation in their own favour.It was the largest wave of protests that had swept across Iran after the Revolution. President Trump, during his visit to London, remarked “Iran was killing perhaps thousands and thousands of people right now as we speak”. The Trump Administration tried unsuccessfully to intensify the chaos in order to bring down the regime.
Ironically, the manipulations on the part of the opponents of Iran overshadowed the legitimate grievances of the Iranian people. The poor segments, who were under the pressure of rising fuel prices and economic stagflation, were protesting against the rising fuel prices; their cause was not only betrayed but dozens of them also lost their lives after the crackdown. Under pressure, President Rouhani recognized the legitimate protests and ordered that "clemency should be shown and those innocent people who protested against petrol price hikes and were not armed should be released”.
Now that the protests have been curbed, the Iranian regime must tackle issues at the internal front. Firstly, it has to bring about transparency in order to address the problems faced by the citizens. Secondly, it must release the facts with regard to the actual number of causalties, injured persons, number of incarcerated people, etc. Thirdly, they should also show release all the protestors who were not involved in any heinous act as ordered by President Rouhani forthwith. Fourthly, they must facilitate the people who are still grappling with the all-time high 40 per cent inflation and high unemployment rate. This is the toughest economic situation for Iran in the last 40 years.
Iran must also show flexibility and try to resolve outstanding issues with its Arab neighbours or the status quo will continue to hound both sides. In addition, as Iran was compliant with the JCPOA agreement, the Trump administration must reinstate the status of the agreement. In case any lacunae are identified in the deal, they may be negotiated in coordination with other concerned parties. Britain, China, France, Russia and Germany have an important role to play in the resolution of the US-Iran nuclear issue. Lifting of sanctions will also provide breathing space to the Iranian citizenry. The world has suffered a lot after 9/11 and it cannot sustain another disastrous inter-state or intra-state conflict. If this happens, the damage will be irreversible and unforgivable. May sanity prevail.![]()
The writer is a development sector practitioner and can be reached at amjadsiyal@hotmail.com |
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