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Fault Lines First

Despite the widening internal fault lines, Pakistan’s ruling elite appear to lack the commitment, capability and vision required to steer the country out of its multiple crises

By Dr. Moonis Ahmar | August 2026

Unless Pakistan is able to address its domestic challenges, its so-called ‘internal fault lines,’ the country risks slipping from a fragile state towards a failing, or even failed, state. This, arguably, is the trajectory Pakistan is currently facing. Issues ranging from the insurgency in Balochistan and terrorism in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) to unrest in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK), instability in Gilgit-Baltistan, and the resurgence of Sindhi and Mohajir nationalism pose serious challenges to Pakistan’s stability and national cohesion.

Despite the deepening of these internal fault lines, the ruling elite appear to lack the commitment, capability and vision needed to steer the country out of its multiple crises. Alongside growing insecurity, Pakistan continues to grapple with economic hardship and increasing public frustration, particularly among its youth. Ironically, at a time when the country faces mounting domestic challenges, its leadership has devoted considerable attention to diplomacy and mediation aimed at promoting peace in the Persian Gulf and West Asia. Critics argue that, instead of concentrating on the deteriorating security situation in Balochistan and unrest in Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan’s Federal Interior Minister spent two weeks abroad, reflecting what they view as a lack of urgency in addressing pressing domestic concerns.

How do Pakistan’s growing domestic challenges threaten the country’s very survival? More importantly, how can a nation of over 250 million people, already grappling with mounting economic challenges, address these crises? What is the way forward, and what obstacles stand in the way of resolving Pakistan’s internal structural weaknesses? Answering these questions requires an objective analysis supported by critical thinking.

Addressing a sit-in on 1 July 2026 organised by the families of police personnel martyred in the Ziarat attack, Balochistan National Party-Mengal (BNP-M) chief Akhtar Mengal argued that dialogue and negotiations were essential to ending the cycle of violence in the province.

Questioning the state’s handling of the security situation, Mengal said: “If a functional justice system existed in the province, why has there been no independent and transparent investigation into the Ziarat attack and similar incidents?”

He further remarked: “The state’s lack of confidence in its own institutions and decisions is one of the country’s greatest tragedies. Several experiments have been carried out in Balochistan, including the abolition of the Levies Force and its subsequent merger with the police. However, all such measures have failed. Governments continue to mislead the public by forming committees and sending representatives instead of providing lasting solutions.”

Mengal also urged protesters to remain steadfast in their peaceful campaign for their rights, asking: “If the situation in Balochistan were truly normal, why would people be compelled to stage sit-ins? A state where speaking the truth is considered a crime and demanding one’s rights is treated as an offence cannot survive for long.”

Violent incidents continue to occur almost daily in Balochistan, targeting security personnel as well as non-local residents, particularly those from Punjab. These recurring attacks raise serious questions about the state’s ability to maintain law and order in Pakistan’s largest and most restive province.

By most assessments, Balochistan represents Pakistan’s most significant internal fault line. Owing to its strategic location and vast natural resources—estimated by some to be worth more than one trillion US dollars—the province has long been viewed as an arena of regional and international geopolitical competition. Mengal argued that unless issues such as enforced disappearances and the continued deployment of security forces are addressed through political dialogue, Balochistan is likely to remain trapped in a cycle of instability.

Beyond Balochistan, Pakistan continues to face serious security and political challenges in other regions. Terrorist violence remains a persistent concern in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), while political unrest has intensified in Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK). In Rawalakot, thousands of protesters staged a sit-in against rising electricity tariffs and food prices while also demanding the abolition of twelve reserved seats for Kashmiri refugees in the AJK Legislative Assembly. Critics argue that, rather than engaging the protesters through dialogue, the authorities have relied primarily on coercive measures, a strategy they contend risks deepening public resentment towards Islamabad.

Alongside AJK, Gilgit-Baltistan represents another regional grievance. The recent elections in the region, criticised by sections of the opposition and some observers over alleged irregularities, have fuelled public resentment and renewed debate about governance and political representation.

Karachi remains another major flashpoint. Pakistan’s commercial capital continues to grapple with allegations of poor governance, corruption, nepotism and deteriorating infrastructure. Critics argue that these long-standing problems have undermined public confidence in provincial and local institutions while adversely affecting the city’s economic potential.

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