Colombo
Strategic Trap
Through continued dialogue and astute diplomacy, Sri Lanka can emerge as a trusted partner for both China and India.
Sri Lanka, a tiny island country commonly referred to as ‘the pearl of the Indian Ocean,’ seems to bear the brunt of its dynastic leadership with a parochial approach, which has not been able to lead the nation at par with emerging geostrategic dynamics. Over the last few years, Sri Lanka’s diplomatic dealings with global powers, notably China, have drawn intense scrutiny and debate. Allegations of China using coercive tactics to advance its strategic and economic interests in the South Asian region have amplified concerns worldwide. To unravel this multifaceted issue, it is imperative to delve into the historical backdrop of Chia-Sri Lankan relations, the economic dynamics, and the broader geopolitical implications.
Since establishing diplomatic ties in 1957, Sri Lanka and China have fostered a relationship marked by cooperation and friendship. China’s involvement in Sri Lanka’s developmental ventures, particularly post-civil war reconstruction from 2009 onwards, has been pivotal. China’s launch of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013 further elevated Sri Lanka’s strategic significance in China’s Maritime Silk Road aspirations, focusing predominantly on bolstering infrastructure such as ports, highways, and energy facilities.
Central to the discourse is the contentious Hambantota Port development project. In 2017, Sri Lanka leased control of this critical maritime facility to a Chinese firm for 99 years in exchange for debt relief, triggering widespread apprehension. Critics argue this move exemplifies a broader pattern of debt-trap diplomacy, potentially compromising Sri Lanka’s sovereignty and regional stability. The strategic implications of such initiatives, including the perceived “String of Pearls” strategy to secure maritime routes, have fueled anxieties about heightened Chinese influence at the expense of regional equilibrium.
“To the rest of the world, Sri Lanka has become a cautionary tale of misgovernment and misfortune. The profligacy of the Rajapaksa brothers and a misguided plan to convert the nation’s farming industry into a solely organic enterprise collided with factors out of the country’s control. Those included the sweeping impact of the pandemic, which crashed the vital tourism sector, and then the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which disrupted global supply chains and accelerated the inflationary spiral that dragged Sri Lanka’s economy into the abyss,” according to Ishaan Tharoor, Indian foreign affairs columnist and writer.
Maintaining equilibrium in its foreign relations with China and India remains paramount for Sri Lanka. Key strategies include diversifying international engagements beyond regional giants to mitigate dependence risks. Strengthening ties with traditional allies like the United States, Japan, and European Union countries offers diplomatic leverage and ensures a balanced approach to economic partnerships.
Active participation in regional forums such as the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and the Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) fosters dialogue, enhances cooperation, and collaboratively addresses shared challenges. Sri Lanka’s strategic location in the Indian Ocean also positions it as a potential mediator in regional disputes, promoting peace and stability through dialogue and diplomacy.
The evolving dynamics of Chia-Sri Lankan relations underscore a complex interplay of economic imperatives, strategic calculations, and geopolitical sensitivities. As Sri Lanka navigates its diplomatic course, safeguarding national interests while promoting regional stability remains imperative. Transparent and mutually beneficial engagements with global partners and robust participation in regional fora will be crucial in shaping a sustainable and balanced foreign policy approach for Sri Lanka amidst evolving global dynamics.
In Sri Lanka, strategic-trap diplomacy was carried out as an extension to debt-trap diplomacy, where three characteristics are identified apart from the financing model.
China’s relationship with Sri Lanka has garnered significant attention globally, particularly regarding allegations of Chinese “arm-twisting” to enforce compliance with its strategic and economic objectives. To delve into this complex topic, we must explore several vital dimensions: the historical context of Chia-Sri Lankan relations, the financial ties between the two countries, the strategic implications of Chinese investments in Sri Lanka, and the perspectives of both nations and the international community.
Maintaining a delicate balance in diplomatic relations between China and India is crucial for Sri Lanka’s stability, economic prosperity, and regional security. Here are vital strategies Sri Lanka can employ:
Sri Lanka should actively engage with multiple countries beyond China and India to avoid over-reliance on any single nation. Ensuring transparency in economic agreements and project implementations with both China and India is essential. Sri Lanka must prioritize projects that benefit its long-term economic development and ensure fair terms that do not lead to unsustainable debt burdens or compromise sovereignty. Promoting cultural exchanges, educational partnerships, and tourism between Sri Lanka, China, and India can strengthen people-to-people ties and foster mutual understanding. These exchanges can help build trust and mitigate misunderstandings that may arise at the diplomatic level.
“In Sri Lanka, strategic-trap diplomacy was carried out as an extension to debt-trap diplomacy, where three characteristics are identified apart from the financing model. First, in the political dimension, China’s involvement in installing an alternative model away from the democratic model, an authoritarian model, China’s assistance to the Rajapaksa political party, and support funding,” says Asanga Abeyagoonasekera, a Sri Lankan academic, geopolitics and foreign policy analyst.
Given its strategic location in the Indian Ocean, Sri Lanka can enhance its reputation as a neutral and trusted partner for China and India by promoting dialogue and diplomacy. Sri Lanka’s ability to maintain a balanced approach in its diplomatic relations with China and India hinges on fostering transparency, diversifying partnerships, and actively engaging in regional forums and cultural exchanges. By pursuing these strategies, Sri Lanka can navigate the complexities of regional geopolitics while safeguarding its national interests and promoting regional stability.
The writer is a freelance contributor.
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