Cover Story
Ban If You Can!
As the slow and painful fire engulfs the near-dead nation, Nero plays the flute and plans for yet another IMF loan.
When you think this government has stooped to its lowest, it surprises you with yet another kick down the pit of crass ignorance. As soon as the majority of the Supreme Court judges gave a verdict in favour of the PTI being a political party with all relevant credentials, the government mouthpieces claimed to be getting ready to have it banned. As if banning the largest national party with majority seats and a landslide victory in the February elections was merely a simple tactical move, a show of cards. The reality is that most citizens can read the writing on the wall as pressure builds up from the international community: the UN, the US, and internally from the rejuvenated judiciary (despite the incumbent CJP) to conduct an impartial probe into the irregularities of the election and to free all political prisoners, the government and its string pullers seem to be playing the blind man’s game.
When the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) took away the election symbol of the bat from the PTI, a decision that the SC endorsed, neither realised that this decision would come back to haunt them forever. To add to its sins, the ECP refused to allot reserved seats to the SIC-PTI combination and distributed them, much like Halloween candy, to the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP), and others. This was challenged in the SC and thankfully heard by a full court where the majority’s verdict was that the PTI was eligible for the reserved seats. This has reduced the strength of the PDM coalition partners and made the PTI the largest party in the National Assembly. The PDM-2 still has a majority, but not the two-thirds, that it needs to bring about any changes in the Constitution.
Nothing that this government has done since it came into power seems to have been well thought out, or even just thought through. Which government, in its right state of mind, would approve further perks for itself and for an already bloated bureaucracy while slapping the already crippled salaried class with further taxes, letting the retailers and agricultural landlords go free? If one was younger and full of anger, one would say this is why the French Revolution happened in the manner it did. Fortunately or otherwise, this nation is too comfortable with the wrongs done to it, and it has learned nothing from its erstwhile fraternity, the Bengalis in East Pakistan. The latter rose as one unity when the Awami League was banned. The rest is history, a history from which our unnamed rulers are loath to learn from.
The shenanigans this government has been carrying out are tragically farcical. As the country’s economy plummets, most who are young, educated to some extent, and can afford it are leaving the country, and industry is at a standstill. Petrol prices are at a record high, and everyone knows that this indicator drives up the prices of consumer products, including simple foodstuffs. Even as families commit collective suicide or cut down on the education of children to meet health and food expenses, infrastructure projects with billions in loans are being announced. The future is dim beyond recognition, our majority of the ever-bulging population being illiterate, fit only to break rocks for constructing roads that wash away with the slightest of rain showers. Very soon, we will be populated only by the old, the infirm, and the illiterate: in short, those who are “unmigratable.” As the slow and painful fire engulfs the near-dead nation, Nero plays the flute and plans for yet another IMF loan. It is not as if this is a window to the future. It is here, happening, and in real time.
Getting back to the ban, a day after all information ministers (why do we need information ministry is a puzzle) quickly responded to partner allies who claimed they were not consulted to clarify that this was only a suggestion and all consultations would be carried out and that talks are still on the table. In reality, the PPP would only be too happy to support the ban, and talks are a non-starter because the PTI has linked them to the freedom of Imran Khan and others. Of course, the government and its backers will not accept having publicly declared keeping the PTI chairman behind bars for the next five years.
So the question is: will they proceed with banning the PTI? Two scenarios emerge: First, the ban sails through the Senate despite the fact that its composition should change in line with the SC verdict, but it will not be allowed to. This will be followed by a Presidential ordinance, which is not a problem, given that they have their man in this position. Bingo, PTI is banned, even more supporters are arrested, and even more FIRS are registered against Imran Khan and others. Processions are taken out in protest, quickly curbed through lathi charges and, if necessary, shootings. The country sinks into complete chaos, and the real rulers emerge fully into the open with the declaration of a national emergency. The second scenario is still with the ban; the country whimpers into submission, and the rulers declare victory. In both scenarios, the semblance of democracy that we are clinging to dies a slow but tortuous and eventual death.
There is still a third possibility. Someone powerful enough in the government realises the enormous foolishness of this exercise and is able to convince his masters. The threat of the ban is removed, the PTI returns with a majority in the national assembly and Senate, and the ECP retires with its tail between its legs. The IMF and friends in the UN and US/UK exert enough influence to motivate the government to take tough measures to boost the economy, tax the rich and elite, and focus on human rather than infrastructure development.
The chances of this happening are zero, to say the least, but there is no harm in dreaming, is there? No tax on dreaming as yet.
If only the establishment and the government were doing what they are supposed to instead of holding press conferences blaming the PTI for all ills. But the latest tactic to thwart the people’s force is the raid on PTI HQ in Islamabad and the not-so-veiled threat of not giving any leeway to the planners of the May 9 riots. We are in for scenario one, it seems.
U.S. State Department’s Statement on Pakistan Elections 2024
“Millions of Pakistanis made their voices heard by voting in Pakistan’s elections on February 8, with record numbers of Pakistani women, members of religious and ethnic minority groups, and youth registered. We commend Pakistani poll workers, civil society, journalists, and election observers for their work to protect and uphold Pakistan’s democratic and electoral institutions. We now look forward to timely, complete results that reflect the will of the Pakistani people.
We join credible international and local election observers in their assessment that these elections included undue restrictions on freedoms of expression, association, and peaceful assembly. We condemn electoral violence, restrictions on the exercise of human rights and fundamental freedoms, including attacks on media workers, and restrictions on access to the Internet and telecommunication services, and are concerned about allegations of interference in the electoral process. Claims of interference or fraud should be fully investigated.
The United States is prepared to work with the next Pakistani government, regardless of political party, to advance our shared interests. We look forward to bolstering our partnership by supporting Pakistan’s economy through trade and investment. We will continue to support Pakistan in strengthening its democratic institutions, engage through the U.S.-Pakistan Green Alliance Framework, broaden people-to-people ties, and promote human rights, including freedom of expression. We are also committed to strengthening our security cooperation and creating an environment of safety and security that affords the Pakistani people the peace, democracy, and progress they deserve.”
Matthew Miller, Spokesperson for the United States Department of State
The writer is a development professional, researcher, translator and columnist with an interest in religion and socio-political issues. She can be reached at nikhat_sattar@yahoo.com
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