Opinion
Crisis Upon Crisis
While Gaza has exploded and sent migrants to Egypt, the situation in what is called the West Bank is becoming explosive.
The world has never been without large movements of people. They move both inside the boundaries of individual countries as well as across international frontiers. Millions of people have gone from one place to another in the last one hundred years. One of the most significant movements occurred around the time the British decided to leave their large Indian colony after dividing it into two parts – a predominantly Hindu India and a predominantly Muslim Pakistan. That was in August 1947, after resisting the Indian demand for independence for decades. I wrote about the mass migration that resulted from London’s withdrawal from their long-occupied Indian colony. I did this work in the late 1960s as a graduate student at Harvard University. I worked under the guidance of Alexander Gerschenkron, who was regarded as the world’s foremost economic historian at that time. International migration was of particular interest to him. He was a Russian Jew who had moved several times, first to France and then to the United States.
He knew little about South Asia, and one way he could develop some knowledge of the area was to encourage me to focus on the creation of Pakistan and how the circumstances surrounding that event were to influence its future when I told him that the British decision to leave by portioning their colony in two parts created an enormously large movement of people. He encouraged me to develop some numbers, and I spent hours at the University’s Widener Library pouring over the census data. Comparing the censuses of 1941 and 1951, I came up with the estimate that some 14 million people had moved within a few months, often traveling on foot.
Eight million Muslims left India for Pakistan, while six million Hindus and Sikhs went in the other direction. Remembering the Hindu-Muslim riots that had preceded the departure of the British, neither Muslims nor non-Muslims felt that they would be safe if they stayed in their homes. I wrote about this event in my first book, Pakistan Under Bhutto, published by Macmillan of London, in which I developed the thesis of “Insiders and Outsiders.” Outsiders were the people who left India for Pakistan, while the Insiders were the host populations. About three to four million people went to Karachi, which was chosen to be the new country’s first capital. They spoke Urdu and began to call themselves “Mohajirs.” Karachi’s native populations were mostly Sindhis, who spoke the Sindhi language. This ethnic difference between the insiders and outsiders resulted in a deep conflict between the two groups that still affects life in this country. Another component of this ethnic mix was added – the Pathans, who migrated from Afghanistan to Pakistan when the former country became highly unsettled.
I have done a recollection of this international move of people as the background to understand the current episode of mass global migration – Palestinians who are leaving the Gaza Strip that is under the assault of the Israelis and moving into neighboring Egypt. In a long story about what The Washington Post calls the new diaspora, the newspaper provides a detailed account of how this new large-scale migration is taking shape. “When Israel launched its war against Hamas, Cairo was adamant: It would not accept Palestinian refugees,” wrote the newspaper in its front-page cover story published on June 30. “Yet more than 115,000 have crossed into Egypt since October, the Palestinian Authority embassy here estimates. Most remain in limbo, with no legal status and nowhere else to go. They are members of a new diaspora of Palestinians, a people already haunted by memories of displacement.”
The first displacement occurred when the state of Israel was founded in the area in which the Palestinians had lived for centuries. Helped by the West, the United States, and the U.K. in particular, European Jews left their homes under a movement called Zionism and headed to Palestine. Once there, they threw the Palestinians out of the homes in which they had lived for decades and settled in them. The displaced Palestinians went to the Gaza Strip, a narrow piece of land bordering the Mediterranean Sea, and to the West Bank on the banks of the Jordan River. Both areas are now under attack by Israel.
Barghouti favors a two-state solution and has enough legitimacy to deliver a peace deal. There are influential Israelis who support releasing the log-held prisoner and turning him into the head of the Palestinian Authority.
While Gaza has exploded and sent migrants to Egypt, the situation in what is called the West Bank is becoming explosive. “There’s a war in Gaza, but the big war will be here in the West Bank,” said Muamar Orabi, managing editor of a West Bank organization called Wattan. He made that statement in a conversation with Nicholas Kristof of The New York Times, who has covered the Middle East for his newspaper for decades. The West Bank is home to three million Palestinians and 720,000 Jewish settlers. The latter has the full support of the extremists in Israel who are working to expand the presence of the settlers by pushing out the Palestinians from their homes and also from their land. Complicating the situation for the United States is that there are American citizens among the Palestinians and the settlers (Nicholas Kristof, “The West Bank is Ready to Explode,” The New York Times June 30, 2024, pp. 8-9.)
One solution to the problem is to have credible leadership among the Palestinians living in the West Bank. At the moment, the Palestinian Authority is sidelined by Hamas, is poorly led, does a poor job of managing the territory it controls, and has a reputation for corruption. There is agreement among those who have studied the problem to have Marwan Barghouti, the most popular Palestinian leader, released from the Israeli prison where he has spent more than two decades. He has been charged with organizing the murder of Israelis.
Barghouti favors a two-state solution and has enough legitimacy to deliver a peace deal. There are influential Israelis who support releasing the log-held prisoner and turning him into the head of the Palestinian Authority. “He is the only one who can extricate us from the quagmire we are in,” wrote Alon Liel, a former director general of Israel’s Foreign Ministry. If the West Bank does explode, more Palestinians will head towards Egypt, making that movement significant in size.
The writer is a professional economist who has served as a Vice President of the World Bank and as caretaker Finance Minister of Pakistan. He can be reached at sjburki@gmail.com
Businessmen urge govt to revoke IPP deals
HBL wins “Best Bank in Pakistan 2024” award by Euromoney
Pakistan’s tallest man passes away
Modi urged to defer the implementation of new criminal laws
‘Mehman’ Concludes Coke Studio Season 15
Justin Bieber wows celebrities at the Ambani gala
Eight killed, two million affected by floods in Bangladesh
Dr Raza Shah appointed as Unesco Chair
Dubai crown prince named UAE defence minister
KP Sharma Oli appointed new prime minister of Nepal
Govt to crack down on ‘negative propaganda’ on social media
TikTok removes over 20m videos from Pakistan
Leave a Reply