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Road to Peace

Pakistan only has to tap into India’s tremendous powerhouse of economic growth. New vistas of peace and trust would follow in its wake.

By Dr Subhash Kapila | May 2021

road-peace

Geopolitically, unfolding perspectives in 2021 strongly indicate that greater geopolitical imperatives exist for Pakistan to opt for peace with India than Indian geopolitical imperatives to seek peace with Pakistan.

It goes beyond emphasis that sustainable peace between Pakistan and India is eminently desirable and that India values peace that much more with its neighbours as its foreign policy objectives followed in the last 70 years amply prove.

Sustainable peace between Pakistan and India would have evolved naturally and logically in the decades following 1947 after the initial bitterness of the Partition of the Indian Subcontinent by British colonial masters would have lapsed into history.

The two major determinants of Pakistan’s policies which have impeded Pakistan-India normalisation of relations in the decades since 1947 have been (1) Pakistan Army’s obsessive mindset on detaching Kashmir from India by war, proxy war and terrorism and (2) the burning ambition to achieve ‘Strategic Equivalence’ with India.

Addressing Pakistan’s obsession to achieve ‘Strategic Equivalence’ with India first, since this has a crucial bearing on regional and global geopolitics, a reality check in 2021 and perspectives beyond, do not suggest that Pakistan can ever achieve this policy objective, even despite a nuclear weapons arsenal at its disposal.

Globally, geopolitical weightage in 2021 is heavily stacked in favour of India and not in favour of Pakistan nor in favour of China which is Pakistan’s current strategic patron and underwrites Pakistan’s foreign policy.

Geopolitics was evidently in play in 2021 when China, after nine months of aggressive military confrontation in Eastern Ladakh with India, opted for disengagement and talks with Pakistan after four weeks, adopting reconciliatory approaches with India in terms of ceasefire on LoC after years of escalation.

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Subhash-Kapila

Dr Subhash Kapila is a graduate of the Royal British Army Staff College, Camberley and combines rich professional experience as an Indian Army Brigadier, Cabinet Secretary and has completed diplomatic/official assignments in the UK, USA, Japan, South Korea, and Bhutan. He ha authored two books---‘China-India Military Confrontation: 21st Century Perspectives” and “India’s Defence Policies & Strategic Thought: A Comparative Analysis”.

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